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2024-12-14 06:35:33

Soochow securities Lu Zhe: The Central Economic Work Conference further boosted confidence in the capital market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, believes that the contents of the meeting will face the adverse changes and influences of the internal and external economic environment directly, with more emphasis on the orientation of policy consistency, and policy coordination will be more important next year. Next year, the strength of macro-policies will be significantly increased, and more concrete and operable policy measures will be introduced, which will provide a strong guarantee for the economy to tide over difficulties in the short term and deepen long-term reforms. Lu Zhe said that the Central Economic Work Conference regards "stabilizing the stock market and the property market" as the basic premise of steady growth, which on the one hand shows that the policy pays more attention to the capital market, and on the other hand shows that stabilizing the capital market and the real estate market is an important working means to boost confidence and enhance expectations. Judging from the key work arrangement of the meeting, the combination of "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy" and the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment are expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals, provide more macro liquidity for the market, and guide the confidence stability and profit recovery of the capital market. (SSE)Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.Broadcom said that the company focuses on the application of cash to repay debts.


Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Tianmao Group: The premium income of Guohua Life Insurance in 2024 was about 32.694 billion yuan. Tianmao Group announced that the accumulated original insurance premium income of Guohua Life Insurance Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of the company, was about 32.694 billion yuan from January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024. The above-mentioned original insurance premium income data has not been audited.Trump: The money saved by automation is far less than the pain, injury and loss it has caused to American workers.


The US dollar index rose by 0.3%, the Japanese yen fell to 153, and the Swiss franc fell by over 0.9%. On Thursday (December 12), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.31% to 107.038 points, and the intraday trading range was 106.354-107.041 points. The whole day showed a volatile upward state, but the European Central Bank announced a rate cut, the US PPI data was released, and Beijing. The Bloomberg dollar index rose by 0.28%, reaching a daily high of 1288.41 points, and then fluctuated upward after reaching a daily low of 1281.12 points at 15:17. The dollar rose 0.14% against the yen to 152.67 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.81-152.77 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0467, the pound fell 0.62% to 1.2673, and the dollar rose 0.93% to 0.8924 against the Swiss franc. Among the commodity currencies, the Australian dollar was roughly flat after falling back against the US dollar, while the New Zealand dollar fell by 0.29% and the US dollar rose by 0.44% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona fell 0.38% against the US dollar, while the Norwegian krona fell 0.26% against the US dollar.Boeing: I'm afraid the new version of Air Force One will not be in place until 2029 at the earliest.Zou Lan, Director of the Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank: A moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the coping capacity and space of monetary policy. The Central Economic Work Conference that ended yesterday released a series of positive signals. The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that the Central Economic Work Conference changed the orientation of monetary policy from "moderate" to "moderately loose" next year, and made it clear that more active and promising macro policies would be implemented, highlighting the determination of policies to promote economic recovery. Zou Lan, director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, said that the implementation of moderately loose monetary policy is also the embodiment of countercyclical adjustment. At present, the adverse effects brought by changes in the external environment have deepened, and China's economic operation still faces many difficulties and challenges. The moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the ability and space for monetary policy to cope. (CCTV News)

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